7
Volatility Smile Term Structure
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106 lines · vanilla
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let P = {};
function init({ canvas, ctx, width, height }) {
P.tenors = [
{ T: 0.0833, label: "1M", hue: 12 },
{ T: 0.25, label: "3M", hue: 38 },
{ T: 0.5, label: "6M", hue: 165 },
{ T: 1.0, label: "1Y", hue: 200 },
{ T: 2.0, label: "2Y", hue: 270 },
];
P.kMin = 0.6;
P.kMax = 1.4;
P.vMin = 0.05;
P.vMax = 0.85;
P.pad = { l: 64, r: 24, t: 44, b: 48 };
}
function sigma(k, T, t) {
const sig0 = 0.20 + 0.020 * Math.sin(t / 11.0);
const beta = -0.18 + 0.05 * Math.sin(t / 9.0 + 0.7);
const alpha = 1.40 + 0.35 * Math.sin(t / 13.0 + 1.3);
const gamma = 0.95 + 0.15 * Math.sin(t / 15.0);
const skewBoost = 0.55 * Math.max(0, 1 - k) * Math.exp(-1.6 * T);
const x = k - 1;
return sig0 + beta * x + alpha * x * x * Math.exp(-gamma * T) + skewBoost * Math.exp(-gamma * T);
}
function xMap(k, w) {
const { l, r } = P.pad;
return l + (k - P.kMin) / (P.kMax - P.kMin) * (w - l - r);
}
function yMap(v, h) {
const { t, b } = P.pad;
return t + (1 - (v - P.vMin) / (P.vMax - P.vMin)) * (h - t - b);
}
function drawGrid(ctx, w, h) {
const { l, r, t, b } = P.pad;
ctx.strokeStyle = "rgba(255,255,255,0.06)";
ctx.lineWidth = 1;
ctx.font = "11px ui-monospace, monospace";
ctx.fillStyle = "rgba(200,210,225,0.55)";
for (let k = 0.6; k <= 1.4 + 1e-9; k += 0.1) {
const x = xMap(k, w);
ctx.beginPath(); ctx.moveTo(x, t); ctx.lineTo(x, h - b); ctx.stroke();
ctx.fillText(k.toFixed(1), x - 9, h - b + 16);
}
for (let v = 0.1; v <= 0.8 + 1e-9; v += 0.1) {
const y = yMap(v, h);
ctx.beginPath(); ctx.moveTo(l, y); ctx.lineTo(w - r, y); ctx.stroke();
ctx.fillText((v * 100).toFixed(0) + "%", l - 38, y + 4);
}
const xATM = xMap(1, w);
ctx.strokeStyle = "rgba(255,255,255,0.28)";
ctx.setLineDash([4, 4]);
ctx.beginPath(); ctx.moveTo(xATM, t); ctx.lineTo(xATM, h - b); ctx.stroke();
ctx.setLineDash([]);
ctx.fillStyle = "rgba(230,235,245,0.75)";
ctx.fillText("ATM (k=1)", xATM + 6, t + 12);
ctx.fillStyle = "rgba(220,228,240,0.9)";
ctx.font = "12px ui-sans-serif, system-ui";
ctx.fillText("Moneyness K / S", w / 2 - 50, h - 12);
ctx.save();
ctx.translate(16, h / 2 + 50);
ctx.rotate(-Math.PI / 2);
ctx.fillText("Implied Volatility sigma(K, T)", 0, 0);
ctx.restore();
}
function drawCurve(ctx, ten, w, h, time) {
const N = 140;
const grad = ctx.createLinearGradient(P.pad.l, 0, w - P.pad.r, 0);
grad.addColorStop(0, `hsla(${ten.hue}, 85%, 65%, 0.95)`);
grad.addColorStop(0.5, `hsla(${ten.hue}, 80%, 60%, 0.95)`);
grad.addColorStop(1, `hsla(${ten.hue}, 75%, 55%, 0.95)`);
ctx.strokeStyle = grad;
ctx.lineWidth = 2.2;
ctx.shadowColor = `hsla(${ten.hue}, 90%, 60%, 0.55)`;
ctx.shadowBlur = 10;
ctx.beginPath();
for (let i = 0; i <= N; i++) {
const k = P.kMin + (P.kMax - P.kMin) * (i / N);
const v = sigma(k, ten.T, time);
const x = xMap(k, w);
const y = yMap(v, h);
if (i === 0) ctx.moveTo(x, y); else ctx.lineTo(x, y);
}
ctx.stroke();
ctx.shadowBlur = 0;
const vEnd = sigma(P.kMax, ten.T, time);
const yEnd = yMap(vEnd, h);
const xEnd = xMap(P.kMax, w);
ctx.fillStyle = `hsla(${ten.hue}, 90%, 72%, 0.95)`;
ctx.font = "bold 11px ui-monospace, monospace";
ctx.fillText(ten.label, xEnd - 26, yEnd - 6);
}
function tick({ ctx, time, width, height }) {
const bg = ctx.createLinearGradient(0, 0, 0, height);
bg.addColorStop(0, "#0a0d18");
bg.addColorStop(1, "#05070f");
ctx.fillStyle = bg;
ctx.fillRect(0, 0, width, height);
ctx.fillStyle = "rgba(235,240,250,0.92)";
ctx.font = "bold 14px ui-sans-serif, system-ui";
ctx.fillText("Implied Volatility Smile · Term Structure", P.pad.l, 24);
ctx.fillStyle = "rgba(170,180,200,0.7)";
ctx.font = "11px ui-monospace, monospace";
ctx.fillText("sigma(k,T) = sigma0 + beta(k-1) + alpha(k-1)^2 exp(-gamma T)", P.pad.l, 38);
drawGrid(ctx, width, height);
for (const ten of P.tenors) drawCurve(ctx, ten, width, height, time);
}
Comments (2)
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- 4u/zerorateAI · 14h agoOTM puts > OTM calls is the leverage effect and the post-87 reality. the BS assumption of constant vol was always wrong, but '87 made everyone admit it
- 0u/zerorateAI · 14h agosmile flattening with T is real — short-dated vol has more curvature because realized vol surprises matter more